Long Iran War update: большой разговор о войне, логистике и последствиях
Источник: https://www.ryandawson.org/p/long-iran-war-update
Краткое содержание
Развёрнутый разговор о войне вокруг Ирана и Израилья: причины конфликта, роль лоббизма, динамика боевых действий, ограничения американской логистики и масштабы экономического давления через энергетику. Обсуждаются ядерные риски, внутренние политические факторы в США, а также то, почему война ведётся «дронами и ракетами», а не классическими сухопутными операциями.
Вторая линия — разбор того, как изменилась война в регионе и в мире: роль Хезболлы в Ливане, влияние распада Сирияи, перенос навыков и людей из прежних войн, использование дронов и дешёвых ракет против дорогостоящих систем ПВО. Параллельно затрагиваются Украина и Россия как пример «войны истощения», а также вопросы цензуры, платформ и финансирования независимых авторов.
Основные тезисы
- Война описана как инициированная Израильем; акцент делается на роли лоббизма и политической поддержки в США, в том числе через AIPAC и связанные с ним механизмы влияния.
- Напоминаются предыдущие войны и операции: Газа, Сирия, Ирак, Ливия (Каддафи), упоминаются Голанские высоты и фермы Шеба, как фон, на котором нынешний конфликт выглядит «переломным».
- Упоминается ощущение медийного «блэкаута» и дефицита надёжных источников; в качестве альтернативных комментаторов перечисляются Douglas MacGregor, Lawrence (Larry) Wilkerson, Judging Freedom (Napolitano), Jeffrey Sachs, Larry C. Johnson, Scott Ritter и др.
- Критикуется то, как термин «гегелевская диалектика» в публичной среде сводят к «problem‑action‑solution», и связывается это с влиянием Алекса Джонса.
- В отдельной линии разбирается Q: сопоставление с исторической операцией Trust, упоминание 4chan и «управления повесткой», критика «токсичных» и «кокифицирующих» медийных фигур, которые уводят обсуждение в крайности.
- Поднимается тема религиозной и этнической идентичности, критика идеи избранности и «божественного права» на землю, как источника устойчивой враждебности и повторяющихся конфликтов.
- Отмечается, что публичная риторика о «конце ресурсов» у Ирана расходится с ощущением реальной динамики: тезис «у них заканчиваются ракеты» связывается с собственными проблемами по боеприпасам и перехватчикам.
- Проводится линия «ракеты и дроны сильнее дорогой защиты»: Иран выстроил стратегию на подземной инфраструктуре, массовых БПЛА и баллистике, потому что традиционные ВВС и ВМФ не нужны, если можно перегрузить ПВО и закрыть ключевые морские маршруты.
- Подчёркивается ставка на береговые батареи и перекрытие проливов как инструмент экономического давления: если перекрываются ключевые маршруты нефти, конфликт становится болезненным для мировой экономики.
- Приводится мысль, что для США проще вести войну против Ирана «в одиночку», чем одновременно защищать союзников и инфраструктуру в Персидском заливе; именно защита союзников истощает запасы перехватчиков и «стэнд‑офф» боеприпасов.
- Подчёркивается логистическая проблема полноценного вторжения: отсутствие заранее развёрнутых крупных сил, уязвимость маршрутов от баллистики, невозможность скрытно перебросить сотни тысяч военнослужащих в условиях современной разведки.
- Отдельно говорится о внутренней реакции в США: решающим фактором общественного недовольства названы цены на топливо и экономические издержки, а не гуманитарная повестка.
- Про ядерную тему: применение ядерного оружия обозначено как ответ на ядерный удар. При этом у Израилья упоминаются средства доставки (подлодки и ракеты), а у Ирана — возможность ответного потенциала, что снижает вероятность первого удара.
- Высказывается тезис о необходимости инспекций израильских ядерных возможностей, если международные структуры настаивают на контроле над Ираном.
- По Хезболле: война сдвинулась к «дронам и дешевым ракетам». После обвала Сирияи часть кадров и вооружения переместились в Ливан, а местное производство компонентов дронов снизило зависимость от «сирийского коридора».
- Указывается, что «дешёвые» ракеты и массовые дроны в сочетании с истощённой ПВО меняют ситуацию: то, что раньше перехватывалось, начинает проходить, и количество становится важнее технологической сложности.
- Сравниваются подходы: Израиль повторяет старые схемы и не адаптируется, тогда как противники корректируют тактику после ошибок. Приводится логика «серийных засад» на бронетехнику и повторяемости успешных приёмов.
- Указывается, что из‑за истощения ПВО дешёвые ракеты начинают проходить там, где раньше их перехватывали; это меняет соотношение стоимости удара и защиты.
- Параллель к Украинае и Россияи: война описывается как медленная, «по персоналу», где главная цель — изматывать и разрушать потенциал противника, а не быстро «красить карту». Дроны и артиллерия заменяют манёвренные «большие стрелы».
- Отмечается, что западная поддержка (финансы и оружие из США и Европы) меняет логику разрушения промышленных центров, потому что снабжение идёт извне (например, через Польшу).
- Приводится оценка по энергетике: Россия предлагает долгосрочные контракты на газ для Европы, но рассматривает переориентацию на Китай и Азию; удары по территории РФ идут как фактор, повышающий цену для Европы.
- По НАТО: альянс обозначен как оборонительный, а попытки втянуть его в наступательные операции критикуются как ложное расширение мандата.
- По морским маршрутам: давление через Ормузский пролив и Красное море (в том числе действия хуситов) приводит к росту цен и логистическим шокам.
- Отдельно выражается скепсис к эпизоду с Диего‑Гарсия: он подаётся как возможная провокация и информационная операция.
- Значительная часть разговора посвящена медиа‑среде и финансированию: перечисляются платформы и платёжные сервисы, которые «отключали» автора, объясняется, почему Substack остаётся ключевым каналом выживания, и зачем нужны долгосрочные подписки.
- Поднимаются темы «операций по управлению вниманием» (в частности Q), сравнения с историческими психоперациями и критика популярных медиаперсон и групп, которые уводят дискуссию в крайности.
- В финале обозначаются планы на будущие проекты (серии и фильмы по Эпштейну, 9/11, JFK) и возможные «трибуналы» как политический горизонт после войны.
Значимость
Текст даёт подробную картину того, как автор связывает военные события, экономику и медийную среду в одну логическую линию: дроны и ракеты → износ ПВО → энергетическое давление → политическая цена войны для союзников. При этом много внимания уделено инфраструктурным ограничениям и логистике, а не только фронтовым сводкам, что формирует целостный «анализ войны как системы».
🧾 Транскрипт (формат)
it's tribalism they get so invested in a particular thing they just ignore the rest maybe they're hell bent anti-immigration or something and so they'll just forgive everything else I don't know I'm a bit of a techie nerd I could give you a hand with that X stuff, I'll figure it out yeah, it's not hard but I've got an eyeball problem these tiny buttons on a phone you have to do X on a phone you can't use a computer I use a computer for everything because I've got wet macular degeneration in my eye so I can't really do anything on a phone other than talk I have to blow up text it sucks, but whatever but if I had somebody just like yeah, that person, that person whatever I think the solo rant I did today was fine I really didn't need anyone to add anything and I'm really interested in arguing but I would like to do spaces where everyone gets to talk like we're doing now that's what I'd like to do but I had a lot of shit to say I was like, I'm so sick of people blame shifting away from Israel like it's Israel's war it is God, they look at all the money AIPAC spends on these people they do their bidding it's the Hegelian dialectic it's been they worked it out I know what you mean problem action solution but that's not the Hegelian dialectic that is just a retarded version of it from Alex Jones is not antithesis and synthesis like that's not what Hegel was talking about but that's what the modern iteration has become so I know what you mean but I hate that term because it's so far off from what the philosopher was trying to say but Alex Jones is single handily made Hegelian dialectic mean problem action solution I fucking hate him Hey Ryan, I got a quick question It's a globalist, Illuminati, Luciferian, NWO anything but the Zionist Jews that started the war Just a real quickie, Ryan I'm looking for updates but there's this black blackout on media and you know, over the years and months we have to go through the weeds to find the right content creator and right now I'm nailed down on you know, anything Ryan says is, you know pretty much golden so far that so many grifters have come and gone and I just am looking for some kind of update because Trump's trying to convince the world that Iran don't have no ammo left and we got all the ammo and it's like fucking opposite words Even worse We have infinite he said endlessly You don't Again they're always guilty of their own accusation when they say oh, they're running out of ammo means we're running out of ammo That's how it is If you want some other reliable people I'd give a quick list I think and you know they're good at different things like they're not going to cover all the stuff I do you're not going to get someone that's an expert on Epstein and September 11th and the Iran war and da da da da but for this you know war conflict Douglas McGregor is good so is Colonel Wilkerson they're both colonels by the way Lawrence or sometimes Larry Wilkerson he goes by he used to he was a staffer for Colin Powell Judging Freedom on YouTube he's got good guests Judging Politano used to work for Fox he's got a pretty good guest list Jeffrey Sachs has been good on this Larry C. Johnson another one former spook by the way he's been good on this you can just post it inside of your Telegram I'm going to I will do that on Telegram and Substack I'm going to be a shout out to the OGs or whatever and if I can link to the all these people have Substacks by the way because that's the only place you're allowed to write because if you wrote for some paper whatever the Kvetching would begin and you'd get fired Larry Johnson's got a Substack Scott Ritter's got a Substack McGregor's got a Substack like that's the only place you are allowed real free speech for articles videos podcasts and so on I even think Andrew Tate's got a you know like all these people have banned my entire income like 99% is Substack like I sell t-shirts and all that but if I did not have Substack I would be homeless because I've been kicked off everything else and like even though I have a Rumble I get no money because Rumble will only pay you through PayPal and I'm banned on PayPal and they just will not work with me on that at all I do have one question and it's regarding Q and it's going to be idiotic sarcastic save Israel for save Israel for last is a clever way of saying never because how can anything possibly be the last thing when you're talking about politics it just bit it was a way for them we're not going to talk about it all their last their last like they need to be first all these problems because of them these wars are because of them your open borders are because of them their groups all the things you hate these Q cards over to Wikipedia and I tell them hey go look up operation trust you know something happened 103 years ago it's identical to Q we traced all the IP addresses from the 4chan politically incorrect board all the way back to Israel it's like just dude here Teal and Jeffrey Epstein created poll on 4chan like Fuentes I know they are a creation of the Epstein class so I said yesterday there's two kinds of poison you have the toxic that's like your white nationalist Hitler loving Stalin loving whatever that will be all anti Israel but then they're like Hitler was based yeah it's totally toxic then you have the kookification that's like Candace Owen who's talking about Egyptian planes and maroon shirts and stuff who's pro-Palestine but then every other word out of her mouth is fucking nuts saying Bridget McCrone has a penis even though she had three children like real well her childhood photo looks like her brother based on Chinese facial recognition software it's just so dumb but that's what they do they either kookify it actually a better example than Candace is Alex Jones like he is the master of covering everything up with ridiculousness and then the toxic stocks like the GDL Nick Fuentes all your fucking race realist weirdo fucking like you have a layup they're bombing hospitals and shooting children and instead of saying hey stop shooting children it's wrong you're like you know actually you know I don't think this many people died in World War Two like you're shooting from half court when you had a layup you don't need to try and win the World War Two argument or talk about race and IQ and all this dumb crap it was like dude shut the fuck up the only way you could possibly lose an argument to Zionist is to try and venerate Hitler it's about the only thing worse that you can think of to sabotage yourself hey Ryan if you were a Jew I mean you were born or whatever your family or whatever don't you think that after 2500 years of being you know the the enemy of the rest of the world that if you were a good guy and you were you were Jewish don't you think you would stop calling yourself a Jew and and go claim something else I would be like Gilad Osman I would just be an atheist I would not believe in the divine right to steal other people's land or that I'm chosen by God and my bloodline is superior to everyone else I would just reject all that like no that's not true we're people it's a self alienating religion to divide the world into Jew and Gentiles like us and them and we're better than them that right there is a bad psychology to start with and the fact that the byproducts of that end up being disastrous and disastrous for those people getting kicked out of one nation after another like yeah no one likes supremacists no one likes that it's your behavior but your behavior stems from your belief you got to get rid of that belief it is a stupid belief based on mythology but the problem is like you know there's no difference between religion and mythology other than whether you believe it or not like everyone else has a myth but I have a religion like no they're all myths but that is something you can't get at because some everyone's clings to some kind of crap but yeah if I was born like I don't know how it could be born to I guess if my parents were Jewish or whatever and they believed in that then I would just not believe it like no I'm not it's easy I mean my parents were Christian I'm not I you know you don't inherit a religion I say that they're no longer Christian either I've converted my whole family to reality but it's just you if you have a brain you can decide what you're be you don't have to be pinned to ideology and Gilad Osmond talks about that like you know you don't have that as a as a black as a gay as a woman as a this as a that like whoa whoa whoa there's no black way of thinking like Joe Biden said if you don't vote for me you ain't black like what are you talking about someone who's black and think however they want to think there's no like way they're supposed to think based on melanin same thing with pick a category you have the freedom of choice to believe in any political ideology you want and don't give this shit like well as of this as a lesbian left-handed midget get bent hey Ryan why was christy gnome uh fired that's first i'm hearing it don't know because uh her husband has a secret big fake tits okay was this a joke or i didn't know if she'd been fired or not or if you were setting up a punchline no she well she i'm assuming she got fired because it just came out today that her husband is accused of having a double life as a crossdresser obsessed with and you can see a picture of him well did she resign or get fired because if she resigned that would be her choice because she don't want to focus on her family whatever but what that it's just yeah like man so a guy goes and buys some silicone boobs for himself like he he had the fake boobs is that correct that just sounds weird yeah i can see a picture of him yeah i posted it on the ryan dawson chat so why is he a tranny or he just wants to play with himself yeah accused of a double life and there's a picture of him with like big fake tits on him it's pretty no weird i would he was fired i think i i think you should try and verify that a little more because nowadays the ai and photoshop and whatever like i'm not saying it's not true but i'm not gonna say it is true like i haven't seen that so i cannot sign off on that this is something you're saying but try try to falsify it first yeah well if it's true i'm pretty sure that's why she got fired they're like this is too embarrassing she is pretty corrupt and all the i hope all these pro-war all these like lex bomb iran people they all get voted out they all get resigned their scandals come out and a lot of them have scandals that's how they control them they have skeletons in their closet and they shake that at him like yeah she'll harder for israel or else this is why oh man another big news dan bilzerian is running for congress against randy fine that's amazing i i stand with dan easy the bar is pretty low i don't even know what his ideas are i just know he doesn't take money from apac and he doesn't rape kids i'm like well that's a good start you know that should be simple that should be just about anybody but it isn't nowadays did you hear uh nake uh nate diaz uh call lindsey graham okay that's awesome i spoke to go ahead yeah for sure would you teach lindsey graham jiu-jitsu the gay guy no absolutely not well i'd like to take credit for that but i'm pretty sure that he got that more from jake shields probably most likely than me but but then jake learned from me too but lindsey graham is gayer than a cock-flavored lollipop that guy drinks bottled water with two hands if you know what i mean ryan did you see him at disneyland with his uh you know gay wand he doesn't have kids and he went to disneyland well uh you know the government shut down they're not paying tsa workers and they are just tossing people off planes left and right it's just out of spite he would only a gay man go vacation at his age with no kids to disney world what's going through his mind i mean surely he understands that like he's on tv he's one of the most controversial people right now sending americans to war and and he's just strolling around disneyland with some gay want i mean who are these people i mean it's his ultimate fantasies like he's got his war with iran and disney like that's his bucket list he probably probably in there dressing up like princesses i mean if this is if this is where we're at right now i'm i think we're gonna we're at the same game like i don't know if this is a thing but uh apparently for whatever reason gay men have some fetish for disney princesses i like but if you're gay why are you interested in the what girls i don't know whatever like he's in disney i ain't calling disney gay i'm just saying uh it's it is for children so if you're an adult going to disney by yourself or with you know with your partner that's gay look lindsey graham's like the creepy guy at the water park that goes into the kitty zone where all the children are playing and there's just some like weird shirtless guy with gray hair on his chest like what just oh i'm just like looking at my grandchild but he's got no grandchild he's just a fucking pervert looking at kids in their swimsuits that's him he's that guy and stone cold he's i never noticed that as a kid but as i had kids you got to look out for that there are perverts this is what they do they go to water parks and they hang out there's like a kid zone in water parks and this is that's they're just like golden they nowadays with cell phones they sit there and film children take pictures and shit it's so disgusting it's gonna get worse with ai i mean oh i didn't want to say it i'm gonna fill in the blank ted cruz seems like a a lecherous creepy sunday school teacher it's like i want to stay after class puts his hand on the shoulder a little too long you know the creepy preacher ted i got a question about the uh hexafluoride to the tetrafluoride so that's been confirmed i mean scott ritter's been saying something like that for a while and that's been confirmed recently by ted postal so if that is true um how long has iran had this uh potential to do this and does that mean that maybe israel had um some legitimacy in saying that iran is close to building a nuclear weapon no it wouldn't because if you have they allowed the iae in and they had loud inspections and all that they did not spin up uranium to 60 percent until after like obama and biden like they put brutal sanctions on iran and conditions where we'll lift these when you allow inspectors in and you get your enrichment between these levels so iran did that and then they didn't lift they unfroze some assets but by and large they kept kicking the can down the road say okay we'll revisit this six months and six months later they would just add new conditions and just kept this perpetual crap so iran's like well screw you and then trump just tore it up he just went in no jcpoa no rand deal at all so iran like well we're not going to go to 90 for a bomb we'll make 60 percent however they were still allowing inspections so like here is what we've done we've made this much 60 percent uranium but it's all accounted for so if we start messing with that put it in a pressure container with calcium or whatever they do that that you know you would know because some of the 60 percent would not be there anymore but it's all been accounted for and that is what was on the table it's almost impossible to do this if you're allowing inspections you cannot just do spin this up and not have it known you know even underground whatever because you're like well where did this go okay so then we know where to win but yeah and that was the last thing that was on the table by the way like okay you can have the 60 percent uranium all of it you can have access to it you can hold it whatever and israel preemptively attacked because it was never about that so now they're like well what are you doing with that 60 percent we saw none of your business because they're not allowing inspectors in the inspectors were used to spies to kill iranian scientists they use the iaea to target people so of course they don't want the iaea in there the international atomic energy agency they're like no you cannot come in here because last time you you did that under the guise of inspecting the uranium and instead you got addresses of scientists and had them murdered so fuck you then they're still like okay here's the 60 percent we're not going to destroy it or whatever but it's all accounted for but we are holding this because you know we can spin this up the 90 and get a few bombs out of it should you you know maybe nuke us so yeah anyway no israel has no legitimacy in their claims and they never would have done the 60 percent had you just kept the iran deal that you agreed to in the first place that last part was a joke um so those iaea um agents they were kicked out uh when were they kicked out what year was that that was re that was after the the attack in june oh okay so oh so that was in june oh okay so they had iaea agents until then okay so why did they not start making a bomb after they were kicked out maybe they did well maybe because they knew because they were still willing to allow international inspections or allow the russians or someone else to look at it to keep tabs and because the ayatollah had this is so hard for all of us to believe but from his religious point of view he had a fatwa saying weapons of mass destruction are immoral we can't use them we're not going to build them so they didn't yeah so recent recent developments have really made this very possible i'm not i'm just um i think it's kind of i'm not a nuclear scientist or anything you know like i do believe ted postal i mean he is an actual rocket scientist so that gives credence to it but i can't say like that's out of my expertise whether how possible it is to turn one of these up i think usually the 90 enrichment like you maybe they could build something similar to what was used on hiroshima she's bad enough i mean that's a city destroyer but it is not like modern-day nuclear weapons that are 100 times more powerful than that well good enough for hyphen tell you pretty sure that's a lot of damage that's the dream isn't it but i think it's a bit inconsequential at this point i mean they've demonstrated that they can strike with convention well not conventional with hypersonic missiles why pursue the nuclear option especially now that since um russia and china also said yeah you're right the only reason would be to react in the case that israel or the u.s uses a nuke on iran so they can nuke them back that's the only reason and that's kind of been iran's style like we won't hit your energy unless you hit our energy and we won't do this unless you do this and always u.s and israel f around and then they find out but always the initiative is on the zionist iran's not going to just throw a nuke at anybody but if they get nuked they're going to have to do it the tit for tat strategy and they've been very consistent in that tit for tat or tit for tit i always thought tit for tit makes more sense but okay do you believe douglas mcgregor when he said that russia probably warned israel that they would nuke them if they were to use nuclear weapons no but i think that uh if two nuclear powers attack a non-nuclear power then why shouldn't russia nuke ukraine why care about israel getting nuke you know what i mean like you're you're just erasing that like if we're just going to start lobbing nukes because you're losing a war or having a hard time then yeah just nuke kev then right but they haven't russia hasn't behaved that way they definitely could they have nukes they're not doing that it's really it's just such a risky stupid thing because you're talking about retaliation pakistan has nukes iran question mark or they could build one whatever and really a nuke wouldn't win against you could maybe kill let's say 12 15 million people in tyran much of the city would still be left that city so big you'd have to use dozens of nukes and it's just why because you're because you're losing the war that you started for the fourth time it's so pathetic but they'll do it do you foresee any countries using nukes against israel if israel were to use nukes if iran if iran can make the bomb the way postal said and israel nukes iran then iran will definitely nuke them back as far as anyone else like china no no one's going to nuke israel they really don't need to they can beat them without nukes the only reason for a nuke is his response to a nuke that's it thank you i mean israel is basically losing to militia groups from lebanon it's hilarious for like the third time by the way because they lost go ahead i just say this all feels too good to be true yeah i know well after watching the just constant decimation of palestine and what they did in syria and then the two wars in iraq and then killing gaddafi and handing the country over to al-qaeda and then annexing another piece for the stolen heights uh chiba farms it's just been like all l's and then assassinating the president assassinating scientists killing the ayatollah uh you know they're on a win streak they're like unc and then you know bombing that school and killing the ayatollah was enough and they didn't understand iran been prepping since o-five on how to deal with this you go underground anything on the surface of the american air force will blow it up but if you go underground and you can maintain an offense you don't need a big air force or navy you just need a lot of ballistic missiles and drones and they don't and they don't have an answer for it the defense shields are too expensive to maintain and supply lines and complexity in the equipment you need just cannot you can always outpace it with offense and they realize this and they're winning that and they need the shore batteries to take out ships and close the strait that puts the economic pressure so the u.s. can't stretch this out because it would actually be easier for america to fight iran by itself than to protect the gulf states in israel because if you look at it like on paper how many u.s. cities have been hit zero how many u.s. factories have been destroyed zero how many personnel you know may let's say a hundred you know they're saying dozen let's say hundreds it's not a big deal compared to thousands killed in iran like if you just they got enough jdams and jasms to bomb them all year long okay eventually iran's industry and stuff would be destroyed and america's would not even have a scratch on it because they can't even reach the united states it would be easier for them to go to war on their own but they've run out of interceptors and things because they have to protect all the gulf states in israel they're running out of standoff munitions they're casually adverse they don't want to go in they wouldn't go across the zagras mountains by the day they would come down from ajabajan and they would go into there is a plan there i've seen the war games they could do it but in every scenario where the u.s all out it also they would have everybody stationed and ready to go which they don't and now that the war started it's a logistic nightmare you don't have staging grounds you can't move hundreds of thousands of troops without being noticed and harassed by ballistic missiles the whole time they already screwed up like that that moment has passed so in the you know where they are now it's like it's like starting to fight but the other guys already got you in a naked chokehold like you get to begin from that point well then it's all different isn't it they've screwed up bad and the public doesn't want it they don't like the high gas prices they can say all this moral stuff like what are we doing bro that's it's because they don't like high gas prices let's not kid ourselves some people have a moral qualm about attacking a nation that's not a threat to you didn't do anything to you like I'm one of those but um honestly the reason people are so upset about the war is hanging at the pump and it ought to bother you right all those children dead in Gaza didn't move the needle but five dollar gas well hey hey let's pay attention global outrage and I feel really bad for places like Cuba like the lights are off in Havana it's like sorry bigger story in the news you suffer in silence I heard somebody did a very good impression of a woman we know women don't exist on the internet but I will take this question I think I might be the only one um here right now um my question about Hezbollah um a lot of people kind of saw it as like a wild card them coming back and you know obliterating northern Israel I heard um Scott Ritter say that a lot of people just thought they were gone that they were dead and then they but but really in reality they were just dormant and then I don't know I guess my question to you is did you foresee that because for me it was a wild card I didn't think that I did not well I had um I had inside track on that and my me and my guys covered the Syrian conflict for 11 years so I know people in Hezbollah and what had happened is I I don't know if you heard the stream I did on Twitter a second ago but I'll say it again there was a black swan there was a black swan so the idea was destroy the land bridge between Iran and Hezbollah by crippling Syria then because of the old form of war which is not that long ago but tech has changed things so quickly you look at the war in the north between Ukraine and Russia it's all drones and tree lines like armored divisions all that it's all gone and just from you know from the beginning of that war to the end it's dramatically different and the same thing when you have to smuggle ballistic missiles and rockets and stuff in you know through Syria to Lebanon for Hezbollah to use and you cut off the bridge then they can no longer get those but in this new age of drone warfare the Lebanese locally have components to make drones themselves they don't need to get them from Iran and this is what's been happening is Hezbollah been making factory go burr they've been making drone after drone after drone and they also they do have some ballistic missiles and some of them they got from Syria because in the collapse of Syria the SAA brought their small arms and gear over anti-tank personnel so a little bit benefited from that it was definitely more of a bane than a boon but they have that they get the expertise of these veterans that have been fighting ISIS for a long time too they're now I'm part of Hezbollah and the PMU because all those SAA fighters they went to Iraq they went to Lebanon because Syria collapsed it's just it's horrible what happened to Syria not completely Latakia still has a little area it's like reverse it used to be Al Qaeda and Idlib now it's like Syria and Latakia that's all that's left for now but you never know I mean you ISIS had all had Mosul and for three years in a matter of 36 hours they were kicked out so it can happen that quick had the reversal you never know but anyway with the drones they realized in June both sides by the way didn't know this how effective drones are like man this is the way to go the Israelis realized how devastating drones were on them and Hezbollah learned yeah we this is you get more return on investment on drones than ballistic missiles and it's kind of a combination factor you're like were they only fighting Hezbollah maybe the goddesses and lunatics could win but because Iran depleted the air defense systems with their own drones and missiles so badly that now cheap-ass rockets get through and Hezbollah has cheap-ass rockets endless numbers of katushas and stuff that would not have been effective like Iron Dome can stop those they'd stopped them before they stopped them during the Gaza War rocket slow-moving doesn't even have its own propulsion system like those okay you can defeat that with Iron Dome but when your radars have been destroyed and your interceptors are depleted to the point of pack twos then even rockets do damage so when you get to the point where a weapon that was not effective at all is effective and they have it in droves this is why they're able to inflict so much damage to Haifa since rockets and drones rockets and drones they're not firing that many missiles they have some but that's mostly coming from Iran Hezbollah is mostly using drones and rockets and defensively they're using these anti-tank and anti-personnel weapons on staging areas and hitting Macarver tanks it's like a hundred tanks they've disabled and like 41 of like completely destroyed out of that hundred but disabled is you know look it's not usable but if they tow it out fix it get the parts but they're low on that too because they had so many tanks disabled in the war in Gaza very few tanks got destroyed because it's hard to destroy a tank with a RPG 7 or the Asm-105 but blowing off the treads and doing enough damage to where it can't move or whatever there's stages to tank you know immobile partly destroyed completely destroyed and so on and they immobilize a lot of tanks and that takes up a lot of spare parts in time and so a lot of them are there's like a graveyard of busted up tanks that they can't use and they can't fix fast enough so that's what it was is the shift from ballistic missiles to the density of drone warfare lessen the dependency on Iran that Hezbollah had in the past they don't need it as much and the fact that Iran has in tandem with Hezbollah taking out most of the northern radar it's indirect like Israelis took radar and moved it to the center and south because Iran was hitting Damona and Arad and places like that so they had to move it down and sacrifice the north which they've done and Hezbollah is just tearing it up Haifa it took the Israelis I think they finally put the fire out but that refinery was ablaze and even though you get the fire out it doesn't matter like that's because the oil burned this can be very hard to fix and it's very hard to even start fixing things when you're constantly being harassed by drones they'll hit it again mark my words they will hit that same refinery a second time third time now actually it's coming and I think they thought oh the pager attack worked and that's the other thing Hezbollah learned in June no telecommunications Israel can spy on your phone they hear what you're saying they know where you are so they got rid of them back to old school walkie-talkie whatever you want to do so when they go into those hills they just disappear Israel no longer has eyes and ears on them before when they were bringing their phones it was laughable they knew exactly where they were and they would go and tag them so they adjusted they adapted they learned from the war in June the short war or not June excuse me the um the Gaza conflict and so they realized okay this is what they've been doing this is how they find us this is how they killed Nasserallah like they they know all your locations so they changed their telecommunications processes by just no phones this is why they were so angry and Kvork brought this up in an interview with me they were like no don't use the Chinese stuff because then it would go dark they didn't want to use any Chinese telecommunications well they need to or just don't use it at all go old school letter couriers and so on because you're not going to win the tech war against Israel that's they are way ahead of Hezbollah in that regard but in shoot and move maneuver and actually fighting guerrilla warfare and on the ground the IDF can't do it they're a bunch of dorks you know playing with joysticks they don't know how to fight uh mano y mano they don't know how to stand and deliver and it shows like a lot of the reservists aren't going they were like revolting they don't want to go they run away the first time the shots fired like oh we were ambushed and they do the same mistakes over and over again to say Hezbollah will disable a tank but leave it there and the crew will call another tank to come tow it out because its treads are broken or whatever and Hezbollah just sits there and waits and then they hit the second tank and then they blow up the first one with it and they keep repeating this they'll do a helicopter evac and they won't shoot it they'll let it land they'll let it unload they'll let them grab and then they hit it like over and over again and Israel just never adjusts it's got like a doctrine and it's sticking to it it doesn't know how to adapt Hezbollah has made mistakes but when they make a mistake they alter their behavior and they do you know they accordingly and that's why they're able to win they're flexible and they can change their doctrine Israel doesn't they just same old same old stuff they did in Gaza that doesn't work you can't pack groups together and if you'd looked at the war in the north you would have realized that the Ukrainians do that no the Russians do that no why drones that's why well I think it's just not on the front pages that war is still going on hot and they're maneuvering around they're cutting off roads for what's left in the Don boss and it's like it's that's war is we call it the meat grinder it's a slow war of attrition because you can't do any of what we call big arrow moves but the goal isn't to like color in the map like to capture the town people are always looking at front lines and going oh I want to color this red or whatever that it's to it's to destroy the other side's personnel that's how Russia wins because the whole reason you capture an area is to deprive the enemy of the resources of that area so it's like well if we have your city then you can't make bullets and so on and so on we have all your factories either we destroy it or we take it but when you're getting all your money from NATO allies and your weapons like you're not producing weapons and your economy is already broken that war should have been over in months because the Ukrainian economy was over but if you're going to get hundreds of billions of dollars from America and hundreds of billions of dollars from Europe and you're going to get weapons and storm shadows and all this gear from UK and the US and France then taking out the city isn't worth what the manpower you lose to deprive because they're not reliant on that for their supply lines anyway they're coming from Poland so the strategy isn't capture the flag or take the city on the hill it's more or less destroy the Ukrainian army and you do that by attacking where they are and taking territory and you do move the line but there's no hurry it's like fighting a porcupine don't charge in on that wear it out and they're dug in and it's like well why would we need to lose a lot of men taking this area when we have superior artillery and we can make it rain and it's a very slow methodical way to win and just sit there out of range and pummel them and force them out of their hole but you're saving your own personnel you're saving your own lives and there's no hurry clocks on Russia's side so yeah I get I get all that but I mean given some of Ukraine's actions like attacking Russian territory attacking oil will be finally raising energy stations what I think the response to that was economic because Putin was saying especially with Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz and they threatening to close the the Red Sea traffic as well with the Houthis he got up and he made an interesting speech I watched it live I watched it in two different interpretations because sometimes the English is whatever and I go listen to another one I'm like hey that was a little bit different he said look we'll sell oil and gas to Europe but only under long term contracts and guarantees we're not going to help you out of a desperate situation then you turn around and stab us in the back because we have equally thirsty clients in the East that we could sell to China Japan Korea Vietnam and so on but he's like but we can work with the Europeans but you got to have this long-term deal and then when you know using British weapons they're hitting sites deep inside Russia it's like okay yeah Starmer you just ruined it for all Europe you're not going to get the gas you will get it indirectly who sell to somebody who sells to Europe maybe but then you know you're gonna have a price hike on all that you moron like and it's so stupid because battlefield wise hitting some targets in Russia doesn't change anything it's just an escalation ladder where you're hitting civilians and you're harassing like do you want them to do that because they could hit Kev they can hit anything in Ukraine with their own long-range weapons they could hit Europe they could hit London too if they want like they're sitting there poking the bear hoping they'll out of frustration you know attack a NATO member and try and get that going and I don't think they really understand how stupid that is especially with America being like we don't need NATO Trump's so dumb he thinks NATO's his personal army like we're allies so we all fight everyone together it's like no NATO supposed to be a defensive alliance of Europe that when Europe is attacked they all attack back and America joins it is not an auxiliary force to join America on its imperial escapades in the Middle East or East Asia or whatever that's not what NATO is supposed to do although they all did some NATO nations did join in in Afghanistan that wasn't what it was designed for and they don't have obligations to do that they don't have to go join the US on offense they have to join each other on defense when they're attacked in Europe that's what NATO is now I don't like NATO either but that's what it is it's not an auxiliary unit for the US to just throw into conflicts oh why don't why aren't you opening the Strait of Hormuz like well Iran didn't attack us you attack them now you cannot just drag us into it you remember you attack them they've attacked the Gulf states Israel and you they have not attacked us well British tanker blown up well they closed the strait they told you that's why I think I think the attack on Diego Garcia is a false flag they're like I don't think Iran can shoot a missile that far they're all like look they have this new ability I'm like okay which city did it come from or which area did it come from there's no answer like how do you know that wasn't shot from the sea or just made up completely like no one nothing which I like it was shot and then we intercepted it like really do you have evidence of this that's how that's how black-pilled I am or whatever like a skeptic-pilled I am I don't believe him I don't believe anything they say they lie to us so much it's not no strategic significant significance like we're gonna fire Diego Garcia shared base of the UK and dragging him into the conflict why like you're winning this war you want to add new enemies I don't believe it so in your opinion you think he's just gonna collapse the economy dude that's all he's gonna do and then usher in a fucking new like he's gonna watch all class he may he may just like go after the energy and they do it back and they destroy the oil fields of Saudi Arabia and we just go back to the paper age and I have a theory that that Mossad has probably sold weapons to Iran before not recently but they used to do that they trained the Savak to so you think the way Putin is playing this is smart like and not escalating not hitting Ukrainians hard for well look he's they got to live with them after the war is over you know like in the Donbass region like look Crimea is Russian no one even argues about that anymore the same thing's gonna happen with Luhansk and Donetsk I think you got more of an argument with Kyrgyzson and Rosapharovsky but it's those are Russian now but those are still gonna be your neighbors after the fact and so and it's just wrong if you go around here's the other thing it's not that Russia's more moral or whatever it's like they don't own the media so if they went attack civilians it would be everywhere you know and national and in a global condemnation but when Ukraine does it they can get away with it because their side does run the media I think if Russia did control the media yeah they'd do it I mean it's Russia they'd kill people no problem they're not doing it because they can't there's consequences but they do it so they can act like oh you don't act like that like yeah you would and this is the problem like if you had a free press neither side would do it I really want war crime trivia I want Pete Hegseth like you bombed a skull you used a tomahawk block four you did a double tap you knew it you can't don't blame this on AI or old maps or say Iran bombed itself or whatever you did that now either you come up with some fascinating explanation of how that was an accident or you own up to it it's a war crime but it's hilarious because they're like but the Israelis kill kids yeah yeah well that parasite runs like every paper every station you don't a functional media and free speech ends all this stuff they would not behave the way they do if they knew that if they knew they wouldn't get away with it they wouldn't do it I've got a quick question for you is it going to be regime change in Iran first or in the US and Israel it'll be a regime change in the US first US always goes through regime we're always going through regime changes fucking suck I mean the US is kind of like even when you get a new person it's the same Zog puppeteer like basically the president United States is just like the the front man for a company like that that's actually making all the decisions yeah Larry Fink will still be at Black Rock I guess but that but um they already had regime change in Iran they replaced the Ayatollah with his son and his son is even more hardcore and look even if they killed him doesn't matter they'll get another one it's not going to change the course like the politics of Iran like they are in this for survival and they'll do whatever they got to do Americans are like yeah I mean will our policy change like well you know if they close the Red Sea and people suffer enough economically yeah they're gonna lose it and this is why Trump is like saying we're gonna end the war in two or three weeks I'm gonna have a five-day pause make it a ten-day pause whatever he gets his troops in place around April 6th what are you gonna do with them like it's just the real I'm hearing from people like the real war planners admirals generals and things that know what they're doing the people already exercise this out play this out war games like have the idea like we could do this we can't we can't do that he didn't listen to him he's listening to Lindsey Graham and Mark Levine and these you know faggots that do nothing I mean that in the Louis CK since the word it's coincidence that Lindsey Graham's also gay but these guys they don't know anything they're just you know sloppy fat uh Zionist morons they're like shit you'd be like Iwo Jima I'm like Iwo Jima wasn't good dummy huh morons he's not he's insulated and you know Hagseth is just like we destroyed the Navy we destroyed the Air Force we destroyed all the communications running out of ammo the Ayatollahs is a closet homosexual whatever whatever whatever none of that is true they still have an Air Force underground they're not gonna pop that out until their defense systems are destroyed if ever their Navy whatever was never they never had a blue water Navy anyway their anti-ship missiles and their mini subs mines that they haven't even used yet and their land batteries are what keep navies away they absolutely can indefinitely close the Strait of Hormuz there's nothing you can do to get it open short of dropping nuclear bombs well they need to listen to Iran's demands he's not talking to anyone he can't end the war I mean he can he can end America's participation in it he can withdraw and say we're done but the war will still go on between uh the Gulf and Israel which is that would be the best if America cuts out and then arian hezbollah on the houthis just make greater Persia amen brother bring bring back the Persian Empire that's literally your dream and everyone else's is somebody good at uh Photoshop stuff can they make greater like greater Israel make greater Persia on the map be nice be awesome I just want to see these perfume princes from the Gulf have to like walk take the walk of shame down a long Persian carpet and kneel down and kiss the ring the way they kiss the wall like bow how does it feel after so long after you know fighting this on so and and you personally being involved in all of this crazy how does it feel like we're actually it feels like we're winning it's like I've run out of Vaseline dude it's so satisfying it's like I for about almost 27 years of getting smacked around and canceled and lost a lot of uh opportunities money and so on and smeared and all that just for standing up for Palestinians and Iraqis and so on and just watching him like you stupid fucking just seeing L after L you know and then it's like oh man solid fuel missile just hit Tel Aviv oh look at I'm running or they're conventionally it's like it is the best it's like I think I nutted a little it's just every time I see a column of tanks and smoke right I like click on telegram and this isn't the AI stuff like I've sorted out where the good you know prudence you know is the way to go and I'm just watching these dumb God's chosen lunatics dead uh their tanks destroyed their radar destroyed their defense systems depleted missiles coming down sirens going off I'm like oh yeah this is the find out stage is like a 30 years of waiting for the you know Hogan's pumping up and about to give them the boot you know like you know it's and they and they don't have a way out you look at it I'm gonna I have any like how what could they do who could they get turkey in could they do this could they do they are going to lose they're gonna lose they don't have way out they get it's just a matter of how much worse you want to make it you want to keep digging the hole looks like Trump's gonna keep digging the hole and I'm not even mad I'm like but you know what do it great oh man 30 years and I mean for the longest time it just felt as you said yourself it's lose lose more dead children more dead children more idiots you have to deal with and then you just see it's therapy right now it's very the worst for me was in the 90s when all those Iraqi children were starving to death this kind of pre internet you know and I'm like but they're dying there's a hundred thousand people died a year and no one cared it was not even a mentioned until like you know that famous so I heard you have a million children who died that one video one time with Walters whatever it's no one gave a damn and then yeah cast led protective edge pillar of defense pillar of God where they need all these operations in the Palestine the March for Peace in 2018-19 where they're just shooting people in the knees and blowing their nuts off and blinding people and all that watching all that happen like when is the world going to move what are they going to notice but slowly because of cell phones and other you know advents people started seeing the abuse of Palestinians they started learning about oh did you know that we starve this many Iraqis in this period of time from sanctions they had no idea it wasn't like Americans just were evil they just had no clue any of this what's going on and then the conflict in Syria it was kind of a temporary win there right from from about 2017 until 2024 they that was a victory like Assad won but the sanctions were still crippling but at least they had you know on battlefield wise they won that all got erased in 12 days and that was devastating I'm still mad about that like that's I wish we could recover both Syria and Libya but those states are finished so it's just so satisfying now I'm like well I don't really see a way out of this I don't see a political solution realistically like oh we're just going to vote in the right guy he's going to be anti-APAC and it's going to be Ron Paul no but Iran winning the war I was like oh that's doable if they if they if they US does the right wrong strategy which is the right strategy they'll lose physically destroying Israel is the only way out of this and that is going to be the result of this like Iran US can do whatever it wants it can fuck off or it can stay in they're still going to bomb Israel and if the US fucks off fine Israel will continue to get decimated by missiles yeah my my theory is that the Jews through Mossad are planning on destroying Israel anyways and they want to destroy it so that they can do their whole like rebuilding of their third temple or whatever and yeah they're all about massacring their own people nobody kills more to use than other Jews thank you you don't need to destroy Israel just blow up the dome of the rock or something like there is no third temple either there was no second temple or first temple it's all mythology they have a wall that Rome built that they all go and kiss and act like it was part of some temple period it's not the Jews like it's not how things work Israel is a prior state is a parasite they believe in annexation I think cleansing at this ethical view that God gave him the land there to multiply over the earth subdue it it's the end-earther Christians that want this temple on the mount bring back Jesus stuff this is no Messiah no one walked on water I think this is this is ridiculous but these are the kind of people we have to deal with that they read these parables literally which is amazing for adults to do but they do it and but they're they aren't in charge like Likud is in charge and they they have nuclear weapons they have you know Palantir and all these things it's an anti-human demonic ideology but they just want you to be a service class with spare parts which is your organs and so that you the only reason you exist is so you can have children that they can sexually exploit they're just disgusting perverts that want a slave master class these billionaires they basically live in a rich man's playground it's like they can go wherever but I mean they have to have shops to go to and stuff to see so they need a service industry so the peasants can do that and the way they're going with all this prostitution only fans Instagram's basically prostitution too they're just they're just collecting people for sexual exploitation and the money is so great in that industry that a lot of women are like well I have no other way to make that amount and they get sucked into it I don't want a job job like why go to school and however many years and become a nurse or a doctor or whatever when it's like you have boobies you can make that money right now and with no skill they're getting sucked in it's a debaucherous bunch of perverts that's what they really worship is consumerism in there and hedonism it's nothing to do with scripture or whatever that's they only use the parts that are convenient the ones that say you can kill Amalek and slaughter all the people that resist you that's it they ignore everything else how how did how it's just it's kind of hard to believe how Israel in the US underestimated Iran this badly I mean like how did that happen they got all the way to the end you got an average IQ in the 90s that's how that happens yeah I guess I mean look at Trump's cabinet no no no I know that yeah they are so dumb idiot yeah but yeah but I mean like how did I guess Israel I mean like don't I mean isn't Israel heavily infiltrated inside of Iran don't they have spies I mean how did they not know that yeah okay that's a good question so what happened is they they burned a lot of their assets because they try to do another operation Ajax they tried to have a you know rebellion from within and you saw that like last January well the protesters oh they killed 2,000 3,000 6,000 going in 20,000 30,000 they just kept up in the number always nice round numbers probably gonna get to 6 million one day but a lot of their assets got fried in the previous attacks like when they did their pager attack on Hezbollah and they assassinated I think they assassinated Reesey in the helicopter crash but you know killing all those scientists and all those Iranian officers they even had an Iranian general as a mole he's the one that met with Nasser Allah for example and it was the Chinese that figured that out like hey every meeting this guy's been to you've had a head you know top level officer murder and he always just happens to excuse himself I know what's going on there so Iran had to gut out a lot and they they probably went overboard they probably did prosecute some innocent people too but they saw what happened in Syria they're like whatever got to break some eggs and I swear they just started if you're Jewish you got arrested this was like if you're in the you know in those fields they didn't they're just like you're out or the minimal you got thrown out of the country so they cleaned it out and Israel burned a lot of their assets in that whole like Starlink rebellion thing in January failed and those guys went ape and they were using Kurds and MEK and the traditional elements with Kastani terrorists and stuff but they used them up and they were supposed to attack in tandem with the revolts but they thought no let the revolts escalate then we'll attack but the result but the revolt didn't escalate because what did Iran do it shut the internet down they there's like nope no internet you your little cells will not be able to communicate with each other they intercepted Starlink panels that were coming in from Iraq from Kurdish groups destroyed them destroyed all those agents Turkish intelligence helped catch them do that because they're always watching what the Kurds do Kurdish IQ by the way is in the 80s so that's why that failed and so by squashing the rebellion before it escalated they could no longer do it seemed like the plan was to hit them as rebellions going on then kill the Ayatollah and install your puppets but Iran made the right moves they shut down the internet they went full draconian and they clamped down on those protests and it's the only thing they could do and they prevented that so they're like okay we're gonna do the hot war anyway and she's just like I don't know victim of their own success maybe the Israelis like why are they so stupid like well they got away with it in Gaza they got away with in Iraq twice they got away with it in Syria they got away with it in Libya the pager attack thing worked in Lebanon and you know they killed scientists they killed officers so they thought it'll work because everything else has been going great everything's according to plan so far and then they hit the wall they got all the way to the end of their plan which is Iran which is like their grand prize is what they call it and then it just blew up in their faces literally I mean yeah they really underestimated Iran it's you it's a pattern with these people you know they got nine out of ten cards and you and you could just keep that and and good you rule the world almost but they just have to have that last one and that's always the undoing and Iran was not going to let that happen I just wish they had intervened earlier look they didn't look this attack saved Iran let me explain because that sounds nuts this attack saved Iran all they had to do was nothing their currency had collapsed there were protesters there was division political unrest money you know was becoming worthless if they just waited that out in a year or two they would have had Iran but they can't then Yahoo's got his own corruption charges they're losing support in the U.S. and they know it and so they have to push the timeline like it's got to be now Trump's in office he's dumb enough to do whatever we say this has to be now so they couldn't wait I was like well you have a currency collapse like there wasn't a good way for Iran to fix that now there is you put a toll on the Strait of Hormuz like you morons attacking them save them a unified the country got rid of the division it's actually helping their economy believe it or not and they're getting rid of all their political and economic rivals they are blowing up the Gulf they're killing the Israelis whole world everybody with any moral fibers cheering for them they're like I'm gonna make a shirt that says thank you Iran like that's that's my next product it's like thank you Iran for taking out the devil no bad yeah very proud to be Persian I'm buying 10 of those t-shirts I'm doing it I'm gonna make a thank you around like from signed all of humanity yeah that's the way it is and it's just like who I forget who was speaking with somebody was like it seems too good to be true it really does but this is happening yeah it is like is is this is this real are we really like you just look and go oh man yeah yeah I'm like I want to start seeing dead Israeli officials like when the more missiles get through and it's like oh look Benny Gantz is dead oh Gavir is dead oh Netanyahu had both legs gone off and he's in a conscious coma you know dying from the dried diarrhea causing scabs on his ass like whatever I want to see dead Israeli officials and there's just nothing but I want to see dead Israeli officials like I want to see dead Israeli officials and there's just nothing better than the grand prize is to kill Netanyahu that would be the best Well he needs to die yeah I know I want him to live I want him to see maybe maybe he already died but I want I didn't hear any angels singing so I don't think so but I want to see him uh you know dying from the dried diarrhea causing scabs on his ass like whatever I want to see dead Israeli officials and there's just nothing better than the grand prize is to kill Netanyahu that would be the best well he needs to die yeah I know I want him to live I want him to see maybe maybe he already died but I want I didn't hear any angels singing so I don't think so but I want to see him watch Israel fall apart and know it's his fault I want him to watch Haifa burn I want him to watch as Israelis flee and go to Cyprus or Thailand or wherever they go they're never coming home they're never well it's not their home they're trans-Semites they're never coming back to squat on other people's land I want him to see the settlements on fire I want to see him watch him watch the depopulation of Israel how the world whole world turns on him says it's all your fault you attack them four times you this is what you deserve like I want him to suffer through it and know I want him to be conscious of the fact that Israel's not going to exist when he's dead and then I want him to get killed amen brother and the same thing for Lindsey Graham and the rest of it like I want them to see it I want impeachment trials I want war crimes tribunals and I'm telling you man if we continue to win the media war this is all doable you're seeing people like Joe can't resign people in his own administration are rebelling like I'm out of this and they're rebelling in Israel too there's like a little civil war going on these people don't want to run up and down into shelters every day they're like my punions they don't like it they're like I thought we were winning I thought it was easy what do you mean they can fire back so they're losing it the kvetching is enormous and they're in their shelters and then the lights go off like you're not winning this war you can lie about it all day the reality is on the ground they're looking around they smell the smoke they see the fire and they're a lot smaller than Iran Iran can take it on the chin like they are getting look shit is being blown up there they are definitely suffering too but whatever they have 90 million people they'll stomach it they've got fortitude they'll deal with it they'll take it on the chin as long as they get to deliver Israel cannot sustain damage they can't do it their population is fleeing their Iliad is destroyed their port in Haifa is gone Ben-Gurion is kind of off and on off and on that'll be next onward attack West Jerusalem blow up the settlements blow up Timona blow up their desalination plants destroy Israel completely make it unlivable the way they did Gaza that's poetic justice hey I just wanted to say my aunt who lives in Tehran she was saying she was telling us she calls us when she can she was telling us like you it's like bombing like boom boom boom every like it's just constant but the spirits are so high and the people are just like so unified and they're not like depressed or like down in the dumps that spirits are high even with the bombs like every like compromise that makes me happy at least well if they blow up Israel I'll become a Shia I'll convert I won't be sincere but I'll pretend they're the only ones they're the only ones standing up to evil yeah when you watch like Spain and Italy peel away you know and you know Ireland never was part of it I guess but like there are places that are ready to work with Iran afterward they have a future they have trading partners they get they're like fuck Israel they only like Israel doesn't really have power over those states America does and Israel has power over America like as that fades if you really do leave NATO you lose the net leverage like well you're already gone so you can't threaten that anymore okay you don't gotta listen to you he's going to make every mistake there is because he's it's Trump and I'm like this is the best president ever they say he's the worst I'm like no this is the best he's destroying the empire that's great and honestly he's not as bad he's never going to be as bad as Lincoln but death toll wise Bush killed millions Clinton killed millions Obama killed hundreds of thousands in Syria and I don't even know how many in Afghanistan he's probably close to a million Biden was right along with that started the Ukraine war oversaw the genocide of Gaza there Lyndon Johnson millions of Vietnam murdered like other presidents have murdered millions of people and did not get the pushback that Trump's getting killing a thousand people you know he's nowhere close to being the worst president ever but it seems like it because for the first time you have media you know like social media allowed to say all the evil things they're doing which didn't exist for Obama Clinton Bush and you know all the way back so he's really good president you know he's getting Israel destroyed he got his Gulf allies destroyed he's hurting the dollar you know he's going to lead to destruction of Israel it's not like it's not like this is his plan but out of his stupidity he's accidentally doing the right steps like the only way to fix this was to pick a fight with Iran and lose that was the best thing he could have done for humanity do you think he'll get the third term yeah four more years yeah more of this stupid stuff it's great JD Vance and his eyeliner like these guys are such clowns yeah we got to the state it's just really glorious what's Farsi actually I'm going to write it in English never mind well I was like yeah thank you Iran that's definitely coming real quick feel good go ahead Chad sorry real quick were you able to see a history legend legends video about the death tolls and how you partnered with middle east observer to to count it all and they concluded that it was a one pretty much a one to one ratio I find that very hard I just wanted to know haven't seen it I'm I am friends with middle eastern observer so I'm going to ask what what's up I don't know Alex personally the history legends guy I like his videos been pretty good coverage on Ukraine and history in general Mexican war stuff like that so but but I have seen him flop before like he interviewed some french guy about they were trying to say that you know actually Hamas has like in-laws and stuff like that I'm like no they don't but this dude was just saying just talking shite but history legends was just kind of like oh oh really like he didn't know but he has had on guests that just didn't know what the fuck they were talking about so but when he does his own research and his own video his own report I found it to be more than good I think very good but yeah I have seen him get suckered before so I don't know even with such a huge artillery advantage I just don't see that I don't it means they were all we were all wrong Scott Ritter Larry Johnson all the other analysts they were just dead wrong about how the war was developing what are you saying one to one like you think there should be more who killed uh Ukrainians oh I thought you were talking about Iran and um I thought you were talking about Iran in the Gulf I was like he did he did a video counting the number of casualties Russians and Ukrainians and they came to the conclusion it was one to 1.1 dead I find that very hard to believe very hard to believe yeah just because that one that summer offense I know Ukraine lost an enormous number when the Russians were not where they uh the tanks were just running into fields and landmines without minesweepers and they're yeah alligator helicopters shooting at will they're hitting they hit like a whole ice rink full of them but but Ukraine is better at drone warfare than Russia uh and they have been winning little little things but like they lost they're losing territory losing men and I don't think it's 1 to 1 or 1 to 1.1 I think that you might end up with that as far as verified deaths but that's because they lie but you can just look at the graveyards and see they're way bigger than what they're emitting um I don't agree with the Doug McGregor thing either where they're like 8 to 1 or whatever hell he's saying like no it's not like that but uh it's more than 1.1 just from going over each battle and looking at it but you know I have to see how they develop that number and what they're saying if they're saying like confirmed or you know the language could have it like that um but even if you were stalemating like that that's a loss for Ukraine because they have 25 million people Russia has 150 million people so if you keep losing at a close to even ratio then you lose they are in the defensive most of the time so they that is the advantage but the artillery is going to wound a lot of people as well I think the ratio is higher than the 3 to 1 on that um who are never coming back but I've also heard statistics like the the life expectancy on the front line for these new recruits that are pressed in the service is only like one or two weeks so that can't be going well um who knows when McGregor and stuff say they've lost whatever million or something I'm like where are you getting that from no one's showing how they're extrapolating their data from what you do get a more concrete answer for wounded and you do sort of have very loose fitting math that usually there's a death to wound ratio and you can kind of guess at things and the reason you can know wounded is because it hospitals and things if they go to it there they're wounded enough to go there then there's records of it um and then you can look at graves and things but we don't know how many have died in Ukraine on either side honestly but we have estimates and the estimates are pretty far from 1 to 1.1 but I haven't even seen what their argument is or what their presentation is so maybe I'll watch that and I'll get convinced I don't know but I find that pretty hard to believe seeing here okay thank you all respect for both those groups though like I like both of them and I'm interested in seeing what they had to say and maybe I'll have a counter argument for them I think that'd be cool if you had the time I know you're very busy Ryan on the Ukraine theme what do you think about this idea of Putin wanting Zelensky alive so he can bring him to trial I saw this documentary it was more like a kind of a news clip or something and it wasn't Putin actually saying it it was one of his staff and they were very adamant about wanting to keep Zelensky alive so that they can actually extract the story as to how all of the shenanigans played out have you got any ideas about that I can believe that because they could have killed him if that was the goal you kind of need the it would be better in the end for to have resolutions and stuff after the fact to resolve things to have a trial and have him admit everything from Ihor Kolomoisky and all the elements involved that drove this war and why they broke the Minsk two accords all that yeah yeah I know it's gonna be a bunch of bells but it's Zelensky too dang that would be better than murdering him but this war ends when one of the military surrenders that's that and right now Russia's economy you have to think Russia's had to face all these sanctions and sustain its economy and wage a war by itself whereas Ukraine can just dump everything into the war because its economy is completely subsidized by NATO but now with the oil prices where they are because the Trump's fuck up in Iran Russia has been the main benefactor of this war they're selling at a premium price which allows them to increase salaries and get more soldiers and so on and they're recruiting Ukraine is having to force people into service Russia's having volunteers so the writing's on the wall but I don't expect any like one day there's some big battle and it's over it's just a slow methodical war of attrition up there and that's the way it is but if they can get Zelensky for trial I mean he's just gonna run they'd have to arrest him and then it's like well he's how can you believe anything afterward to say oh he was tortured or da da da da da whatever but you know he needs to admit everything he needs to say who he's getting orders from he's not doing this he's look at all the houses he has and stuff he's been paid handsomely and there's definitely an oligarch class in ukraine and they're all over him they had him on a tv program pretending to be president then he becomes president this wasn't some freak coincidence this guy was groomed he's an actor he's there to be the front man for this organizing force and it was been just economic arguments between the eu and russia and they wanted you know the eu wanted their own in and making their own deals i think we need to also admit that america blew up the nordstrom pipeline like germany is just like suicidal um they would have benefited the most from that line they get rid of their nuclear energy they just make they're the antithesis of the german national interest they do everything to hurt themselves it's weird but and the same thing with starmer and all these people i'm like who's behind you who does starmer work for because he he'll do anything for zelinski he will do nothing for british people he sold out the british that's for sure absolutely and peter mandelton these guys these epstein clients in his administration i think he's got the same problem america has definitely captured but like is there anyone in their right mind that doesn't believe that it was the us that was behind the nordstrom pipeline i mean i'm having conversations with people especially in sweden where they still think that it was the riskies came over i mean this blows my mind that's why you shouldn't talk to women who believes that like that i think the story was like it was a fishing boat or maybe the ukrainians did it it's like dude america did it and you could see that i remember pepe escobar and i in 2014 like when these things were still being made we i'm like well there's no way they can allow that they're gonna blow it up right in fact i was in an interview with uh on the corvette report with james just before the war started and saying they're going to blow up the nordstrom line watch and they did that video is still on um alt censored whatever because my channels were destroyed but james and i talked about it uh oh no no no it wasn't right before the war it was way before the war but i i replayed the video because i thought a war was coming so anyway it's on alt censored but we were talking about it and i'm like yeah they're gonna blow up the pipeline and then when it happened they're like oh maybe russia blew up its own pipeline maybe it epsteined itself they should just build them out of the indestructible us passport that's how they should do it there is youtube videos they say adamantium isn't real but i'm like oh yeah explain us passports checkmate there is there is there is there is video still on youtube with condoleezza rice expressing her contempt for the fact that germans were getting all of their gas from from russia and then there's that famous one of biden even saying you know if they don't do something about it we will and you can youtube just youtube condoleezza rice nordstreet or gas and biden i mean it's it's not even controversial at this point yeah and biden said we'll we'll take care of it they're like how he's like we have we'll take care of it okay it's like well by the way um i think who wants to jump in and say hi so if you see him give him a mic for old time's sake let me see i do see him there i'll let the other twin if you want to say thank you in farsi you can say mashallah irani i'll check care but i'll send it over to you bro it's been wonderful to see you on space but i was thinking for this shirt everyone knows thank you in english so that would be better but i don't know i think you'll have a broader audience in english but uh just great to see you on the spaces and really happy that you managed to flip and get over all of the crap that was thrown at you for such a long time in terms of kind of your financial situation your people don't know this but like you and your brother helped me stay afloat when i was treading water like it was bad it was a what was a point and varg can back this up too like i basically had telegram and like odyssey it was so bad in the dark times man i'm just happy that you flip in stuck with it and got through it and happy to have helped you then as much as i could at the time i doubled down i got so mad i made a film about the syrian war i was like i don't care i'm doing it anyway and just great to hear like your analysis on what's happening in iran i've got one question for you at the moment which is like logistically logistically what's the situation for ammunition ordinance in on the israeli and american side by how much longer can can they continue this defensively and offensively in your opinion all right so it depends on their pacing so they made huge mistakes especially the gulf arab toilet regime in the beginning they were just blowing through interceptors and firing at decoys and doing this you know you can fire maybe two to one it doesn't add anything if you fire third fourth fifth it's just overkill but the the gulf they were firing like eight to one they just shoot shoot the whole wad and they really like burn through too much ammo the israelis were more uh well the israelis have the advantage of things being fired over rock and jordan so they have more time more early warning and so on but it depends on how they space it out right now that's not the problem though i mean i think they're slightly below 50 percent people like they're done i'm like nah that they've run out of thad and they've run out of pack threes pretty much but they still have pack twos and they still have air defense systems just at very low percentile rates now you got the kind with the 19 success rate it's like okay so now you have to fire five of those um but their radar has been destroyed and that's the big thing they're not getting early warning you can see rockets are landing in northern israel rockets so if a rocket lands that means you didn't even attempt to shoot it down they're saving those for the big things and iran's cutting through i mean they've got the kind that can maneuver around the defense systems they've got the kind that uh cluster out a bunch of decoys with heat signatures so the interceptor goes and hits the wrong thing and it goes through and they have the hypersonic which is nothing fancy it's just so fast it hits and there's before you can react and so they're hitting through anyway but you can know that the why i think the problem is the radar more than they're out of ammo even though they are low on ammo is because you would at least sound the alarm for everyone to run to the shelters and have the early warning and haifa and areas in the north are being hit with no alarms which means they didn't see it coming and that's because the radar has been destroyed all along the blue line has blah took out all those towers and you can see what's the first thing iran did their opening volley what's the first thing they destroyed the massive radar system in qatar followed by the secondary one in jordan one billion dollars in qatar 300 million dollar radar system in jordan gone and they did it with drones imagine imagine that your billion dollar radar and it's gone like that south park thing and it's gone and that was their eyes and ears that helps them all that hurts them offensively to not have that radar as well so because they can't tell where these things are being launched from and you know and they're being launched from underground under mountains whatever so they got two problems they're under 50% on interceptors but they're way under 50% on the good ones they're they're back on the like first and second generation missiles which still can work on you know hitting drones and things but they're really low and the gulf they don't trust they had to bring in ukrainian crews to come operate the machines because the gulf arabs left them like abandoned them and put them on auto and when you put them on auto they just fire at dumb stuff so they're running if they were to sustain at the pace that they were the beginning of the war they would run out of missiles within a week but now they're spacing it out and they don't even bother hitting lower grade things I mean they're just gonna take it on the chin so I think they've got another two or three weeks of interceptors it's just really bad ones that don't perform and now iran's also using more advanced missiles because that's the other factors beginning of the war they just unloaded a bunch of almost obsolete stuff thinking well it'll eat up interceptors and what else we're gonna do with it so they flooded it they're like oh iran was firing this many missiles on this day and it's gone down down down each day like no it hasn't what what they gerrymated statistics by saying how many missiles did iran fire at israel on day one two three four five like that not counting how many they fired at the gulf when you add up how many fired at the gulf and israel together their fire rate's been pretty consistent but it was higher in the beginning on all targets because they were just dumping all their old stuff all at once but now they're more selective and this is a good strategy on iran's part because when the when the other side is bleeding out or winded you don't need to chase them around like you need to drag it out the clock is on their side every day that the strait of hormousa is closed is economic panic it's a just dubai not even the whole uae just dubai is losing a billion dollars a day a billion a day from having their airports closed and just harassment stuff so drag it out you know they're on volley 89 or whatever they're on i think 109 is going to be the big one drag them out every day force them into the shelters force them to run around like the roaches they are the other reason you don't want to have a huge volley is then uh it lights up the grid and the american air force will go play tag but if you play the whack-a-mole system that works and it frustrates them to hell and they've demonstrated they can even hit that they can hit several f-15s two f-16s and f-18 and one f-35 a long radar can pick that up and that's what's going to happen as the u.s runs out of uh standoff munitions or they run low enough that they don't want to use the rest because they save those for their specific theater or whatever uh they're burning through attack them right now uh they're burning through tomahawks four and five so they're going to have to creep in closer and then they're going to get more hits on their planes more hits on the refuelers and these dumb fucks park their stuff at the prince the prince sultan air base in saudi arabia after five refuelers got destroyed they put a squadron f-35 there anyway and they got hit again and they're saying and i mean like 30 like that's the whole thing and it may have just been wiped out that came out this morning so i'm still looking to be like really 30 but that's the claim and often they don't lie like a u.s lies all the time people pretending to be around on twitter lie like iran news or iran this is new accounts that they're not speaking on behalf of iran they just have a flag and a name but when you look at the igrc and so on they've been pretty you know truthful on their statement so we'll look and see what they got at the prince sultan base today today korea time i'm saying the morning where i live we'll see how many they got but it's like they also i saw all these american planes in the uk i'm like that's pretty far away why aren't you uh in the gulf oh yeah why aren't you in saudi arabia or jordan or israel oh yeah those aren't safe either like you're back all the way to like cyprus and diego garcia in europe that's how far away they have to stay because iran can hit their air force when they land it's harder to hit a carrier because satellite doesn't give you real-time location and those things can move so yeah the lincoln can run around but you know eventually that thing's been at sea for about a month at least because they were there before the war started remember they have a limited amount of ammo and fuel food they are going to have to go refit eventually so and then the gerald ford had a mutiny where they broke remember they all like well maybe iran hit it with a missile i'm like nah there was sabotage on that ship before the war started they broke all the toilets if you remember all the memes with the poo coming out of the water and then they set the laundry on fire and because they've been at they've been out for a year those guys the sailors been on that boat for a year and then they're going to get dragged in another conflict and they don't know how long that's going to last they said uh-uh i'm not dying for israel and they broke the toilets they burned the laundry they burned the sheets and that i think they docked in greece now that basically they're out of the fight the flagship the largest u.s carrier put out a commission by its own sailors which is great yeah i'm like and listen that would have been a a deciding thing if there was another carrier even larger than lincoln it would you know a lot more stuff and ram would be blown up right now those sailors i think they stuff they stuff those toilets full of t-shirts until they overflowed they were like let's get the let's let's jam up this system my god i think that's what happens yeah they said all the laundry on fire too and the washers and dryers like they just destroyed it all like burn it the fire there's a 30-hour fire i don't think they put a lot of effort in and put it out either like yeah they get if this burns more do we get to leave okay let it burn wow i mean you've seen it veterans running into the senate saying don't die for israel like that got out yeah they broke his wrist or whatever but or his arm i think he broke one of the bones of his arm got caught in the door but it is yeah everybody got booed at a baseball game i know this sounds silly but he goes to a baseball game they'll just brew like these are hardcore like sports fans are usually republican and they're just booing them boo and it's like yeah you made my gas cost more to fight on behalf of israel with iran which has never done anything to me you know what why they hate him and they're gonna get cleaned out in the midterms you've already seen some of these early primaries democrats are winning everything that's why i think dan bilzerian can win he can be like i'm dan i'm not a zionist vote for me i don't rape kids winner is that real is he actually running against uh that randy fine yeah fat he had a fat jew randy sixth district of florida this is happening i talked to dan yesterday he was thinking about running for senate i was like nah run i mean do whatever but i i think it's more winnable to win the congressional seat and you only have to focus in that one area it is like dan's audience is younger than randy fines is all almost exclusively a bunch of boomers so you'd have to buy some commercials to even reach them but i think the way randy is just he's in israel first he doesn't care about florida he doesn't care about that area he cares about stuff in his face he cares about food and performing fellatio on israel's teeny weeny that's all he does i'm like man if you get in congress though like i got some ideas for enforcing antitrust laws researching the thorium like a lot of things we ought to do it's not just stuff we shouldn't do but stuff we ought to do i got ideas i know how he can service his area in florida too and they listen to the people what they need uh so then we'd have bilzerian and massey you know we'd have a couple good ones in there it'd be sweet and he's got the fame and money to pull it off everyone hates randy fine they hate him and people who don't even live in florida or live in different parts of florida i think would volunteer to help dan win you know and even if he loses just think of how much money apac is going to have to throw into that race to save randy fine because randy fine can point to nothing he has no achievements he has done nothing for his district he is there to serve israel brian if when you run for office i don't think i could win office because i'm not religious and you just can't you cannot openly be an atheist and get elected in america and you become a shiite mostly i think that might hurt my chances even more although new york got one um yeah i could suddenly find jesus or something but i think i'm more of the campaign manager advisor whatever i can't be the front my name has already been run through the mud so much like like i was a holocaust denying jew hater whatever whatever as that in the future that might actually help you get elected they lie about me constantly so i don't know i think i think gen z will have your back they might we'll see i was gonna run when walter jones died there's a vacant seat and that was the day they canceled my youtube because i said i might run for congress i'm gonna move back to america i have all the like i want to help my district with the beach erosion and all the problems i know it inside and out we've got houses falling in the water i'm gonna get started on it i don't want to get triggered on this but i know what to do and i know what zoning laws and how to deal with the park service and the army corps of engineers and all the problems on the outer banks and like what needs to happen in north carolina because that's where i'd be running i would do a good job locally like i know what needs to be fixed what needs to be done but i don't i'm not dan bilzarian i don't have money like i don't and that's what you need to win and everyone knows that fair play sir fair play but you know if you ever change your mind call us well you know if the substack would take off like i look at it i'm like look i have 323,000 twitter followers i have 30,000 on rumble 20 whatever even this telegram's got like 16,000 like all of you for one month paid the seven bucks whatever and then i could run for congress like but that's never what happens it's always like two or three percent pay everyone else hangs around for free i get it and i know other people have their own financial problems but i'm like seven dollars is like lunch and it ain't seven dollars a day it's seven dollars a month i think it's very reasonable and i wish maybe i shouldn't market it more i'm like hey for 23 cents a day you know that's better come 23.3 is that right whatever um yeah that's all it takes 23 cents i think people have that in their pocket right now and then you can sign up for sub stack ryan dawson.org but that's like if i that's my main thing if i have money i'll make films if i have money i could run for congress if i have money there's a lot of stuff i could do but i'm constantly having to come up with new things and like selling shirts and stuff because uh sub stack's doing pretty well but i got three kids to put through college and so on and so on you know it is what it is i just wish like if i had a paypal or a youtube i'd be a millionaire even if i had stayed on patreon that was making 8,000 a month way back then and growing all the time that would have been fine but they kicked me off that too i had all these reoccurring payments it took me over 15 years to build up on paypal and they just cancelled them all they cancelled my stream elements they cancelled my google adsense uh and of course it took away youtube not only demonetize can't even make videos kicked me off teespring kicked me off teasley two different clothing companies cancelled um it's hard for me to like plan in the future because i don't know whether i got kicked off stripe that was horrible you know i lost everything from october to now on ANC report they put on hold i'm like we'll give the money back to the customer then so i don't have it they don't have it it's like the worst situation and i'm arguing with them i'm like either you give it to me or give it back to the people who've been paying this rainbow frogs or whatever because i'm not getting it they think i'm getting it and i'm not but you can't just keep it you have to give it back to them at least if you're not going to give it to me that's the argument i'm in right now it's a pain in the ass sub stack's the only thing that reliably you pay and i actually get the money and i guess cash out but i that's like a donation i'm like just do the sub stack it's real it's seven dollars a month and it's it's seventy for a year so you get a couple free months just everyone sign up or if you're already signed up encourage other people to sign up like that if we have a certain level of revenue that i can see and i can rely on then i can plan stuff i would do i could have done a tour bringing new mech or empire on mass or whatever and gone and showed films and a lot of stuff i could do just for the cost of flights but that's a lot especially now the way oil is but that's stuff we could have done but they they take away your ability to fundraise because if you don't have social media no one can find you and then they take away your payment processor so if you can't get donations online like i can't do gofundme they won't let me i can do gifts and go but gofundme is way more it's so popular to be like do a gofundme like well i can't i'm not they won't allow me on gofundme indiegogo stole three thousand dollars from me vimeo stole six thousand dollars from me and canceled my account in all my videos because every time i build something up they take it away except substack knock on wood but substack i don't care they you can deny the holocaust and substack they're like free speech absolutist i'm like all right cool that's the place to be but they don't have tiers the way patreon did it's either per month or per year that's that's how it is like all right we'll do that then but they just signed up for the annual subscription and fuck yeah you know what i'm gonna start doing little extra videos for for the annuals or for i have this thing there's one other tier where it's just like founding fathers or something i think i called it i'm gonna start doing some videos just for those people there's only like 12 of them but i'm gonna do special stuff but yeah the yearly thing is great and you actually end up saving money but me knowing that a whole year's been paid for lets me plan stuff because when someone signs up for seven bucks i don't know if they're gonna be there next month or not so i actually prefer the yearly thing that's where it is i'm in for a yearly i'll do it now i have the monthly i didn't even know that you could do the year but i think i'm i guess i'll switch now that i you can hit uh subscribe again and just it'll start a year from when you pay so you get all the way until next uh april whatever i think it's april i think i just get billed monthly but i'd rather do a year so i guess i'll do that yeah hey are you you can be a founding member it's like 9-11 i think it's a it's a hundred bucks or something but you don't really get anything other than now and then i well you get an audio book actually but um it's basically a thirty dollar donation because it's the same benefit as a year but it's there although if i could think of something to give i would it's just hard with digital products because once you put it out everyone can pirate it anyway so whatever difficult i usually get i get i did give early access to the 9-11 film to all those people so they they got a big thing this year but i can't be making movies every year it's just too much work i've seen movies we need to have seen movies i know i think when this war ends and we start having the tribunals and subpoenas like people very interested in it i'm thinking of epstein series because in my head the movie would be like 10 hours long i was like no one's gonna see that but a series that's how we got maybe people are interested in that i don't know uh i still have the jfk stuff to do no one's done it rfk there's movies i need to do and i need to do them before i reach 50 which is pretty soon so uh it all depends on finance this iran war like this this is i don't say there's nothing better is that a war is horrible but there really was no other solution like israel just needed to lose a war in a pathetic way and i really don't hope they take concessions and say okay you pay reparations and you get out of the gulf like no no no make israel get inspected for nukes if you want to inspect your uranium inspect them too send the iea to israel get rid of their nuclear ambiguity because we all know they have them on that note on that note ryan what do you think their capability is to actually use them because um there was this whole um thing around the fighter jets and the popeye um do we still believe that they have the capability of even being able to get a nuke out there they do because they can launch it from a sub it's not just the popeyes it's the submarines have tritons dolphin class who gave them those yeah the u.s and germany did yeah well yeah who within the u.s and germany did ding-a-ding-a-ding i have a shirt with a bell and it just says if you know you know ah hey ryan i can help you with inside the stuff let's take that one offline whenever you're free like just give me a give me a bell and it'll be look you're not gonna like it'll be decentralized finance but at least you won't they won't be able to fucking take it away from you yeah i mean they even banned me on crypto exchanges i found one knock on wood not gonna say what it is because they'll come but i found one i'm allowed to use like and like give to someone individually but like i was kicked off coinbase all that stuff real early i'm like why and i swear i always thought it was my 9-11 research but i really i think it was epstein i think that's what was getting under the skin the most uh it's moved a lot now decentralized finance um you will need one off but we can we can make that happen yeah man dm me i actually i'm ready to talk about that whenever i'm gonna end this it's been over an hour of me talking about uh zog so and i did a twitter space right before this but yeah they're not only reliant on popeyes um they still could do it but again and we covered this already but iran might have the ability to do it back which makes me almost wish go ahead israel do it i can't wish that i can't it would be millions dead but if it if it happened back and tel aviv and hypha were to completely burned be a net positive it'd be a very dark way to get to that point and i don't want it to happen but if it happens i need iran to do it back and uh that would pretty much end global evil people don't understand the reason your life is the way it is the reason you have the standard of living you do is because of this donor class that wants to keep you essentially a hand-to-mouth slave wherever they can the way they print the money like that the depreciation of your of your own wealth is because of their behavior and it is preventable but i really don't see them changing voluntarily you have to kill them and that can happen i i'm dreaming of the day where one of these missiles hits an israeli bunker and just takes out a bunch of generals and politicians they're hiding underground but unlike iran they don't have mountains so you can reach them geography for the win i have a theory that if there's if there's a significant amount of boots on the ground that russia will just start selling the bunker busters to iran iran made their own it's not quite russian level but it's it's enough um russia and china are both sharing satellite information with iran anyway that already happened but iran can make most of like well where they get these from like they made them themselves all these new missiles that's those are from iran you realize after east asia iran had the highest iq in the world i think it wasn't even all of it was just like china japan korea and i don't know about taiwan and singapore but they're around the same iran was on the same level as the asians then all their neighbors it's like in the 90s and 80s i think iran was 105.4 or something like that it was really high they can they got their own engineers they had a higher average than russia lower than china but not by much and china has the advantage of having fewer women because of their one-child policy so it kind of skews their iq up a little bit on the average well they have a shortage of 300 million women like there's 300 million more men than there are women that's an american-sized population of all guys so of course they get things done stop inceling hey i got kids and wife like i'm just saying fewer women means you get more engineers are we gonna pretend that that engineering is not a male-dominated field are we gonna act like oh no it is not like it isn't like this is true and don't give me well there's that one girl i'm like yeah okay okay that's like saying men and women are the same height because a few examples you can worry of really tall girls like no they're not on average men are taller and on average engineers are male they are in every country is not some cultural thing it is biological girls are not interested in engineering one of the things that you said way back when which i think is holding water even more so now than than when you said it was that it's never about biology it's culture and one of the things that we're seeing play out right in front of us is that if you do have a culture that fosters you know education fosters ethics fosters um you know compassion and can discipline then you will get to where you need to be and i remember you saying that way back when again way back when and you can see in our lifetime the turnaround of like singapore south korea and and we'll see but possibly el salvador like where they just changed leadership the demographics didn't change like el salvador is still el salvadorians they just put criminals in jail and they kept them there and society can thrive when we say it's not in the genes it's in the means it's in the means i mean if it was genes north and south korea should be the same same language same genetics vastly different outcomes because they made different decisions it's politics and all that stuff is software not hardware it's like language you can have a really strong correlation well everybody in this area speaks this language i'm like yeah because it's taught to them by their parents it's still not genetic the language you speak is the language you're taught it's not genetic but it does have if you're basing it on correlations like yeah everybody in japan speaks japanese well duh but you can take a japanese baby and teach them whatever language you want it's software and the same thing with political opinions you can say well blacks vote this way or hispanics do this we're like yeah it's still not genetic this is people vote for things because it's in their own interest so if you're going to start divvying things out based on ethnic groups and ethnic groups will adjust their voting patterns to benefit themselves but it's not because of some intrinsic biological drive for the x group to be liberal or x group to be conservative it's just based on decisions that will benefit their group and you can see that even difference between virginia and west virginia or california and texas roughly the same ratio of white hispanic whatever whatever vastly different ideologies between uh california and texas uh it's not biological but the engineering thing i think is biological i think i think women because they have the advantage uh they have sexual power they get to select who has sex and who doesn't so really extremely hard things they don't have to do because of having the power they can get men will go and do things because they have to to earn more to provide more so they can get vagina whereas woman doesn't have that incentive to put all her effort in to learning a skill like that when she can get all that benefit and wealth by not having to do that and sex drive is biological well if i was a girl i'm like why why work my ass off i can just get a guy to give me stuff and you can yeah well if the democratic party is going to give away free stuff then that's the one you're going to vote for like it's that simple it didn't used to like look at hispanics used to be very conservative when catholicism was their dominating factor they would vote conservative because they were catholic and they believed in his sort of values but then when did they start giving away free shit then hispanics start voting liberal because then they get handouts and that benefits them it's not it's not because of their hispanicness it's because of the you know what benefits and doesn't benefit you know it's not in there um and i and you could watch that happen in our lifetime they voted republican and now they don't be and it's because democrats realize that you can purchase minority groups by saying we'll give you free shit and dei and affirmative action and they're like oh okay well that will help me so i'll vote for this group because this group gives my group free shit but it's not some part of the biology it's just a rational decision just be like oh well this one's gonna give me stuff this other one doesn't i'll vote for the first one so why wouldn't every group vote for free shit they do if they can't if they if free stuff is offered then that's where they go and almost all minorities in the u.s side more with democrats and republicans because that's the one that gives the most stuff but i'm saying like why wouldn't whites do the same thing and men do the same thing and women like why wouldn't everyone just vote for free stuff you gotta you gotta have uh one group to extract wealth from to redistribute to the others and that's the group being extracted if there was if there was a way that whites could get free stuff from someone else then they would do it but they're the one being fleeced i have a question you said that if you were a woman then you wouldn't then you what did you just say you were like oh if i were a woman then i i wouldn't work i would you know do you know i'm saying i wouldn't be an engineer like oh i can might sell clothing or something like this stuff the really hard women aren't going to clean the sewers they're not going to do the really hard job because they don't have to yeah because they know some guy will do it for them and it's not that women are incapable like it's like it's not like a woman doesn't have the ability to learn engineering they don't have the incentive to learn really hard things because guys are going to do it and that's because women control the market that's what i'm saying yeah yeah okay i did i didn't know if you have like the andrew tate like perspective that like women should just like uh marry just let the husband take care of everything and just well i mean you could really even divide this between pretty and ugly right yeah um it's like if you are s tier in looks male or female but especially female you don't need to apply yourself to learn biochemistry or whatever in college but what if you really don't like what if like yeah you can you can and you right and there might be some who do but when you're talking about laws of averages most of me it's like it's very rare that someone's going to be extremely good looking and extremely smart and extremely all positives you usually get one or the other it's just on the odds you can't be good at all things so it's much more likely that you're good at some things and not at other things and most very super attractive people there's no reason for them when they already got a golden ticket to sit there and do the grind that's something ugly person does because they have to and they don't have any other options and that really the fewer options you have the more focus you have on whatever you're doing because you don't even have a chance of doing anything else so you got to do it like some of our best stuff is from it's a must and it's you know you can see it early on elementary school the people with two-inch glasses and stuff are studying the books because they're not distracted by sports or riding a bike whatever because they can't see and they can't do that anyway so they focus on what they're good at and they get good at that thing but someone else that can do anything wants to do the things that are more fun and they don't want to sit there and learn spelling or whatever they want to go play basketball they wanted this they wanted that like the better you are at stuff the harder less focus you have it's almost like more options hurt you yeah yeah but Ryan can I just get in there as an s-tier male I suffer every day see this is what happens when you have bad eyesight what is s-tier can you tell me what that means so a is like you have a b c d f like grades okay got it and s is like the supreme best bet like kate beckinsale or something okay you know and there's a weird case where you have a girl that is that beautiful and also speaks russian and french and is super educated but that's super rare it's usually one or the other and she still became an actress because she can because it's easy she looks good it's easy compared to being an engineer I'm saying like could she have done the other thing probably but why her life's way better and way more quality to do what she did instead and be a famous actress you know but she was ugly you wouldn't have that role hey ryan can we start oh go ahead sorry so i was just gonna say unless it's film noir and it's in french you know what i mean like there is a pretty privilege and there should be there's you know 100 percent also depends on what you think is pretty too right like i mean like objectively beautiful i guess you could say yeah that that that exists and that that yeah i mean beauty is subjective to a point but there is like there's not a definitive line but we can all tell what's ugly who has a pretty face and yeah yeah lindsey graham's ugly in any culture um as far as like what people prefer there's there is variety on the edge but you know facial symmetry you know hourglass figure most of the time like most people prefer the same stuff throughout all time you know health is usually reflected in things that are reflective of health we seem to think are good looking whatever but it's just um it's a superpower like girls can can decide i'm gonna work my ass off and earn my own stuff or i'm gonna get a guy to do it a guy doesn't have that choice he knows he has to earn his self and earn enough to provide for someone else so he's really gonna bust his ass to be a doctor an engineer or whatever now a girl may do that because they enjoy it or whatever but they don't have the same pressure because they're like i don't have to do that and i can get the same quality of life without doing it so why put in all the effort it's much harder for a woman to do it because she's not forced to and a guy is yes that's why be a doctor if you can marry one whereas the guy like a guy will marry a girl from mcdonald's if she's cute he doesn't care at all what her income is or if she even has one but the girl cares about a guy's salary and not it's not everything but it is a thing where it is absolutely nothing to the man whether you earn money or don't man doesn't care if you even have a job and he knows even if you earn money that money is yours whereas his money is both of yours yes he knows that whatever he earns he has to share and whatever she earns she keeps so even if she's rich it's not his money anyway so why should he care he didn't care if you're a millionaire you have no money at all because he doesn't have access to any of that anyway exactly yes it's not a law of physics but it's a law of nature like the real g is not the rich guy getting gold diggers it's the poor guy with charm pulling tens with no money that dude has skill but somebody is like oh look at me i got this all this uh trophies hanging around me it's like yeah because they want you just bought them it's no big deal it's nothing you did it's nothing about you it's not your personality your charm your wit your looks your story it's you have money so it's not impressive when i see a poor person pull the 10 i'm like okay that guy must be really interesting or something because it's not his money that means he had to earn it through his own personal skill and ability ryan before i let you go do you still have that picture of me draped underneath the confederacy flag ah somewhere i think it i think that got ovened with facebook or something but it might be on an old phone or something perhaps for those who don't know i put a confederate battle flag up i actually took it to london too i had i was like bringing my little piece of america to england if you ever find that picture of burn it no no actually share it i would love to have that hey i was wearing my fuck israel t-shirt in japan yesterday actually i was in japan yesterday and i was just walking down the street and i was talking to dan belzarian on the phone and i had a foreigner come out like it's night t-shirt i was like yeah man i forget oh dude um end all aid to israel i have that t-shirt that's amazing i've i only wore it twice i got one now with the red triangle and it just says fuck israel but i understand people can't wear a shirt that says fuck on it so i have the end aid or boycott israel i have both those but i made the fuck israel just for the hardcores to be like you know i don't give a shit like too many dead kids in gaza i'm wearing fuck israel i'm uh can you put an iranian flag on it that's the new that's gonna be the new thing now that would be good in farsi fuck israel however you say that say it again i need to know how to write it though yeah i mean i guess we could just make anti-satan stuff same thing yeah exactly pretty good symbolism save a child shooting israeli save the children save the children jail politicians prevent anal rape jail the rabbis oh my god okay time to sign off do you know the difference between a rabbi and a pedophile there's a difference getting caught oh god that's the only difference yeah yeah i'm getting into i'm gonna sign off now because i'm in that mood okay good night or good morning or wherever you are yeah i'm in now i'm in south korea and i'm gonna enjoy the rest of the day i'm hungry i'm gonna watch hezbollah kick israel's ass we'll see what trump says in about 10 hours or whatever he's got some lying speech he's gonna do i i hope he's like you know what we destroyed this this this and this it's a victory we need the straight open and we're coming home oh man and then it's just a one-on-one with god's chosen lunatics versus the persian future persian empire greater persian somebody make that map man map out where all the gulf arabs used to be all the way to israel leave um leave gaza and west bank as it is but the rest of it's greater persia do you think if the idf comes in through syria it'll be any problem for hezbollah they tried that already and has blood yeah they did do that it didn't work yeah i know that that that laugh that's basically how i reacted okay signing off fuck israel fuck israel fuck israel